Papers with prediction reliability
THCM-CAL: Temporal-Hierarchical Causal Modelling with Conformal Calibration for Clinical Risk Prediction (2025.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Existing approaches to risk prediction from EHRs handle structured diagnostic codes and unstructured narrative notes separately. |
| Approach: | They propose a Temporal-Hierarchical Causal Model with Conformal Calibration . they construct a multimodal causal graph where nodes represent clinical entities from two modalities . |
| Outcome: | The proposed model infers three clinically grounded interactions from textual propositions and ICD codes mapped to textual descriptions. |
Exploring Explanations Improves the Robustness of In-Context Learning (2025.acl-long)
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| Challenge: | In-context learning (ICL) has been shown to be effective across a variety of tasks, but it has been reported to be restricted in its ability to generalize beyond the given demonstrations. |
| Approach: | They propose a framework that extends ICL by exploring explanations for all possible labels. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework improves prediction reliability by exploring explanations for all possible labels. |
HCRE: LLM-based Hierarchical Classification for Cross-Document Relation Extraction with a Prediction-then-Verification Strategy (2026.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | Existing approaches to cross-document relation extraction (RE) focus on identifying relations between head and tail entities from single sentence or document. |
| Approach: | They propose a hierarchical relation tree-based LLM-based hierarchic classification model for cross-document relation extraction (HCRE) based on predefined relations, the model can perform hierarchically classification level by level. |
| Outcome: | The proposed model outperforms existing baselines and validates its effectiveness. |